Talking Points:
Yen Gains as Australian, Kiwi Dollars Follow Stocks Lower in Asia
Overnight Risk Aversion May Reflect Fed QE “Taper” Speculation
Euro Looks to German CPI Revision to Guide ECB Policy Outlook
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The Japanese Yen outperformed on the back of safe-haven demand while the sentiment-linked Australian and New Zealand Dollar declined as stocks fell in overnight trade. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark equity index fell 0.7 percent, following Wall Street lower in a move the newswires attributed to a pickup in speculation about the looming “tapering” of Fed QE3 asset purchases.
Fears of a cutback in the near term may have grown after October’s JOLTs Job Openings gauge unexpectedly rose to the highest level since May 2008. The metric has gained in prominence recently after it emerged that Janet Yellen – the presumptive successor to Ben Bernanke at the helm of the Federal Reserve – is a fan.
The revised set of November’s German CPI figures amounts to the only bit of noteworthy scheduled event risk in European trading hours. Confirmation of flash estimates putting the headline year-on-year price growth rate at 1.3 percent is expected. A downward revision may weigh on the Euro as investors consider the probability of further ECB easing in the months ahead.
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Asia Session:
GMT
CCY
EVENT
ACT
EXP
PREV
23:30
AUD
Westpac Consumer Confidence
-4.8%
–
1.9%
23:30
AUD
Westpac Consumer Conf Index
105.0
–
110.3
23:50
JPY
Machine Orders (MoM)
0.6%
0.7%
-2.1%
23:50
JPY
Machine Orders (YoY)
17.8%
15.0%
11.4%
23:50
JPY
Domestic CGPI (MoM)
0.1%
0.1%
-0.1%
23:50
JPY
Domestic CGPI (YoY)
2.7%
2.7%
2.5%
Euro Session:
GMT
CCY
EVENT
EXP/ACT
PREV
IMPACT
7:00
EUR
German CPI (MoM) (NOV F)
0.2%
0.2%
Medium
7:00
EUR
German CPI (YoY) (NOV F)
1.3%
1.3%
Medium
7:00
EUR
German CPI – EU Harmonised (MoM) (NOV F)
0.2%
0.2%
Low
7:00
EUR
German CPI – EU Harmonised (YoY) (NOV F)
1.6%
1.6%
Low
Critical Levels:
CCY
SUPP 3
SUPP 2
SUPP 1
Pivot Point
RES 1
RES 2
RES 3
EURUSD
1.3641
1.3702
1.3732
1.3763
1.3793
1.3824
1.3885
GBPUSD
1.6349
1.6396
1.6420
1.6443
1.6467
1.6490
1.6537
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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Source: Daily fx