Talking Points:
Yen Outperforms as Stocks Decline Overnight, Fueling Safe-Haven Demand
Euro May Fall if ECB President Draghi Talks Up Sovereign QE Possibilities
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The Japanese Yen outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.6 percent on average against its top counterparts. The move paced a decline in Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 stock index, pointing to risk aversion as the catalyst for the advance in the safety-linked currency. A parallel drop in iron ore futures hints regional slowdown fears may have been at work following soft Chinese PMI and Japanese GDP data this week.
Looking ahead, scheduled commentary from ECB President Mario Draghi is in the spotlight in European session hours. The central bank chief is due to speak at the European Banking Congress. Draghi has already signaled that a move to “sovereign QE” is a possibility if current easing efforts fall short. From here, traders will be searching for clues about the mechanics of triggering and implementing such a policy turn.
The ECB has yet to implement ABS purchases and will conduct another TLTRO operation in December. That means a new stimulus initiative is unlikely in the near term as policymakers wait to evaluate the full impact existing measures. Still, Mr Draghi may put pressure Euro if his remarks give enough specifics to telegraph the central bank is ready to move on government bond purchases and has a clear vision of when to undertake that step.
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Asia Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
ACT
EXP
PREV
0:20
AUD
RBA’s Heath Speaks in Sydney
–
–
–
1:30
USD
Fed’s Williams Speaks in Seoul
–
–
–
2:00
NZD
Credit Card Spending (MoM) (OCT)
1.3%
–
0.2%
2:00
NZD
Credit Card Spending (YoY) (OCT)
6.7%
–
4.5%
European Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
EXP
PREV
IMPACT
8:00
CHF
Money Supply M3 (YoY) (OCT)
–
3.4%
Low
8:00
EUR
ECB President Draghi Speaks in Frankfurt
–
–
Medium
9:30
GBP
Central Government NCR (OCT)
–
21.7B
Low
9:30
GBP
PSNB ex Banking Groups (OCT)
7.7B
11.8B
Low
9:30
GBP
Public Finances (PSNCR) (£) (OCT)
–
17.7B
Low
9:30
GBP
Public Sector Net Borrowing (£) (OCT)
7.0B
11.1B
Low
10:15
EUR
ECB’s Nouy Speaks in Frankfurt
–
–
Low
11:00
EUR
ECB Announces 3-Year LTRO Repayment
–
–
Medium
Critical Levels
CCY
Supp 3
Supp 2
Supp 1
Pivot Point
Res 1
Res 2
Res 3
EURUSD
1.2397
1.2468
1.2504
1.2539
1.2575
1.2610
1.2681
GBPUSD
1.5477
1.5582
1.5637
1.5687
1.5742
1.5792
1.5897
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.
Source: Daily fx