Nomura Research assigns probabilities to the current short list of Fed candidates: Kevin Warsh, Jerome Powell, Janet Yellen, and Gary Cohn:

Warsh: 40%

Powell: 20%

Yellen 20%

Cohn: 10%

Other: 10%

" While we expect the White House to formally announce the Fed Chair nominee in the coming weeks, there is some risk a decision could come later in November," Nomura argues.

Source: Nomura Securities ResearchOriginal Article