Talking Points:
Franc Gains as ECB Says Greek Bonds Unacceptable as Collateral
Australian, New Zealand Dollars Rise After China’s 50bps RRR Cut
Bank of England Rate Decision Likely a Non-Event for the Pound
The Swiss Franc outperformed in overnight trade, rising as much as 0.3 percent on average against its top counterparts. The move appears to have reflected regional safe-haven flows after the ECB announced that it will no longer accept Greek government bonds as collateral for lending.
That sent jitters across financial markets amid worries of oncoming capital shortages and potential bank failures in the event Greek lenders run short on liquidity. Reports suggesting the central bank will make the ELA emergency facility available dampened concerns to some extent however.
The Australian and New Zealand Dollars likewise pushed higher, adding as much as 0.5 and 0.3 percent respectively against the majors. The move appeared to reflect optimism linked to the PBOC, which unexpectedly announced a 50 basis point cut in its reserve requirement ratio.
China is Australia and New Zealand’s largest trading partner and markets likely speculated that an easing of monetary policy that boosts growth there may bode well for the two Oceanic countries’ export demand profiles. That may in turn translate into better overall growth prospects and limit scope for on-coming RBA and RBNZ interest rate reductions.
A monetary policy announcement from the Bank of England headlines the economic calendar in European trading hours. Mark Carney and company are widely expected to keep the status quo in place, meaning no statement is likely to be issued. That will probably mean the announcement will amount to a non-event for the British Pound, with the currency waiting for next week’s quarterly Inflation Report for policy cues.
New to FX? START HERE!
Asia Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
ACT
EXP
PREV
0:00
AUD
HIA New Home Sales (MoM) (DEC)
-1.9%
–
2.2%
0:30
AUD
Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (DEC)
0.2%
0.3%
0.1%
0:30
AUD
Retail Sales Ex Inflation (QoQ) (4Q)
1.5%
1.1%
0.9%
European Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
EXP
PREV
IMPACT
6:45
CHF
SECO Consumer Confidence (JAN)
-13
-11
Low
7:00
EUR
German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (DEC)
1.5%
-2.4%
Medium
7:00
EUR
German Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) (DEC)
0.7%
-0.4%
Medium
8:30
EUR
Markit Germany Construction PMI (JAN)
–
50.5
Low
9:00
GBP
New Car Registrations (YoY) (JAN)
–
8.7%
Low
9:00
EUR
ECB Publishes Economic Bulletin
–
–
Low
9:10
EUR
Markit Germany Retail PMI (JAN)
–
51.7
Low
9:10
EUR
Markit Italy Retail PMI (JAN)
–
42.8
Low
9:10
EUR
Markit Eurozone Retail PMI (JAN)
–
47.6
Low
9:10
EUR
Markit France Retail PMI (JAN)
–
46.5
Low
12:00
GBP
Bank of England Rate Decision
0.50%
0.50%
High
12:00
GBP
BOE Asset Purchase Target (£)
375B
375B
High
Critical Levels
CCY
Supp 3
Supp 2
Supp 1
Pivot Point
Res 1
Res 2
Res 3
EURUSD
1.1044
1.1213
1.1279
1.1382
1.1448
1.1551
1.1720
GBPUSD
1.4967
1.5079
1.5130
1.5191
1.5242
1.5303
1.5415
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
To receive Ilya’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.
Source: Daily fx