Talking Points
Yen Gains, Commodity Dollars Fall Amid Lingering US Budget Impasse
S&P 500 Futures Trading Lower, Hinting Risk Aversion Will Continue
Markets Highly Sensitive to Headline Risk, Vulnerable to Sharp Reversals
The Japanese Yen outperformed on the back of haven-seeking capital inflows overnight, rising against all of its major counterparts as Asian stocks declined. The sentiment-sensitive Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars traded weakest on the session. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark equity index fell 0.9 percent as the deadlock over US budget policy continued to drive worries about the implications of significant fiscal retrenchment in the world’s largest economy on global growthoverall.
The economic calendar is relatively quiet in European and US trading hours, hinting the debacle in Washington DC is likely to remain at center stage for now. S&P 500 futures are pointing sharply lower, arguing for continued risk aversion in the hours ahead. The situation is highly fluid however, meaning an unexpected headline pointing to some kind of breakthrough in Congressional negotiations may quickly change the sentiment landscape, prompting reversals across the financial markets.
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Asia Session:
GMT
CCY
EVENT
ACT
EXP
PREV
22:30
AUD
AiG Performance of Construction Index (SEP)
47.6
–
43.7
23:50
JPY
Official Reserve Assets (SEP)
$1273.5B
–
$1254.2B
5:00
JPY
Leading Index (AUG P)
106.5
106.6
107.9
5:00
JPY
Coincident Index (AUG P)
107.6
107.6
107.7
5:00
JPY
BOJ Monthly Economic Report for (OCT)
–
–
–
Euro Session:
GMT
CCY
EVENT
EXP/ACT
PREV
IMPACT
7:00
CHF
Foreign Currency Reserves (SEP)
432.0B
434.2B
Low
8:30
EUR
Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence (OCT)
10.6
6.5
Low
Critical Levels:
CCY
SUPP 3
SUPP 2
SUPP 1
Pivot Point
RES 1
RES 2
RES 3
EURUSD
1.3390
1.3483
1.3520
1.3576
1.3613
1.3669
1.3762
GBPUSD
1.5721
1.5893
1.5951
1.6065
1.6123
1.6237
1.6409
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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Source: Daily fx