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GBP ‘Increasingly Unloved’, Consider Long EUR/GBP Over Short GBP/USD – RBS

GBP is feeling increasingly unloved. Downside pressure has been building just above 1.30 in GBP/USD. This week’s break appears to have added to the negative sentiment as has a break up through 0.8635 in EUR/GBP. A break of 0.8676 would Read More →

Are G10 Currencies Fairly Valued? – Morgan Stanley

Long-term fair value measures are suggesting that the USD is currently overvalued, particularly as productivity has declined in the US faster than in other countries.

We find that GBP is weak on many measures, with PPP suggesting GBPUSD is Read More →

Week Ahead: Expiring ‘Central Bank Puts’: USD To Struggle Vs EUR & JPY – Credit Agricole

This past week the BoJ extended the life of its fading QE programme ‘on the cheap’ while the Fed remained cautious, assessing the need for further tightening. The markets took this as a risk-on/ USD-off outcome. The USD-off lean could Read More →