Talking Points:
Commodity Dollars Aim Higher as Yen Falls Amid Firming Risk Sentiment
British Pound Declines, Newswires Cite Dovish BOE Rhetoric as Catalyst
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The Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed in overnight trade as firming risk appetite fueled demand for sentiment-geared FX. The MSCI Asia Pacific regional benchmark stock index rose 0.2 percent, hitting the highest level in six months. The Japanese Yen underperformed as investors’ rosy mood sapped demand for the safety-linked currency.
The British Pound likewise faced selling pressure in a move the newswires attributed to a delayed reaction to yesterday’s comments from Andy Haldane. The BOE’s Chief Economist warned that inflation risks are skewed to the downside, noting that the probability of a rate cut is “evenly balanced” with that of a hike.
That seems to contradict more hawkish comments from members of the central bank’s policy-setting MPC committee, presumably weighing on tightening bets. Measures of priced-in policy expectations have not meaningfully changed over the past 48 hours however, casting doubt on whether Mr. Haldane’s remarks were indeed as market-moving as news outlets suggested.
The meager handful of second-tier European economic data points and an empty US docket leave risk appetite as the dominant force driving currency markets through the end of the trading week. S&P 500 index futures are pointing firmly higher ahead of the opening bell on Wall Street, hinting a risk-on mood is likely to continue to propel the commodity Dollars upward while weighing on the Yen.
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Asia Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
ACT
EXP
PREV
21:00
NZD
ANZ Job Advertisements Data (FEB)
0.7%
–
-1.1%
21:45
NZD
Net Migration s.a. (FEB)
4820
–
5540
23:50
JPY
Bank of Japan Feb 17-18 Meeting Minutes
–
–
–
00:00
NZD
ANZ Consumer Confidence (MAR)
124.6
–
124.0
00:00
NZD
ANZ Consumer Confidence (MoM) (MAR)
0.5%
–
-3.8%
1:45
CNY
MNI Business Indicator (MAR)
52.2
–
52.8
2:00
NZD
Credit Card Spending (YoY) (FEB)
5.8%
–
6.2%
2:00
NZD
Credit Card Spending (MoM) (FEB)
-0.1%
–
2.0%
2:10
AUD
RBA’s Stevens Speaks in Melbourne
–
–
–
7:00
JPY
Convenience Store Sales (YoY) (FEB)
-1.4%
–
-0.7%
European Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
EXP/ACT
PREV
IMPACT
7:00
EUR
German Producer Prices (YoY) (FEB)
-2.1% (A)
-2.2%
Medium
7:00
EUR
German Producer Prices (MoM) (FEB)
0.1% (A)
-0.6%
Medium
9:00
EUR
Eurozone Current Account n.s.a (JAN)
€8.2B (A)
€35.2B
Low
9:00
EUR
Eurozone Current Account s.a (JAN)
€29.4B (A)
€22.5B
Low
9:30
GBP
Public Finances (PSNCR) (FEB)
–
-18.9B
Low
9:30
GBP
Public Sector Net Borrowing (FEB)
7.7B
-9.4B
Low
9:30
GBP
Central Government NCR (FEB)
–
-18.3B
Low
9:30
GBP
PSNB ex Banking Groups (FEB)
8.4B
-8.8B
Low
Critical Levels
CCY
Supp 3
Supp 2
Supp 1
Pivot Point
Res 1
Res 2
Res 3
EURUSD
1.0119
1.0425
1.0542
1.0731
1.0848
1.1037
1.1343
GBPUSD
1.4175
1.4496
1.4625
1.4817
1.4946
1.5138
1.5459
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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Source: Daily fx