Talking Points:
US Dollar Soars on Fed Rate Outlook, Aussie and NZ Dollars Underperform
British Pound Might Find Support as BOE’s Carney Drives Tightening Bets
See Economic Releases Directly on Your Charts with the DailyFX News App
The US Dollar resumed pushing higher in overnight trade, adding as much as 0.4 percent on average against its leading counterparts. Firming interest rate hike expectations appeared to be behind the move. Fed Funds futures rose to hint the FOMC may deliver as many as two increases in the target range for the baseline lending rate by year-end. The Australian and New Zealand Dollars bore the brunt of the greenback’s advance, sinking as much as 0.9 and 1.1 percent respectively.
The economic calendar is relatively quiet in European trading hours. EU finance ministers are scheduled to hold a meeting in Brussels, with Greek funding issues likely to loom large once again. The emergence of anything concrete beyond yesterday’s inconclusive Eurogroup sit-down seems unlikely. Athens is due to begin negations with the so-called “institutions” (EU, ECB, IMF) on Wednesday and a breakthrough before then is probably too much to hope for.
Later in the day, Bank of England Governor Mark Carney is due to testify before the House of Lords’ economic affairs committee. If the outing follows the template set by Mr Carney’s recent Parliamentary appearances explaining February’s quarterly Inflation Report, a mildly hawkish tone is to be expected. That could help rekindle BOE rate hike speculation, offering a lift to the British Pound.
New to FX? START HERE!
Asia Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
ACT
EXP
PREV
21:00
NZD
ANZ Truckometer Heavy (MoM) (FEB)
-1.3%
–
0.8%
21:45
NZD
Card Spending Retail (MoM) (FEB)
1.0%
0.4%
-0.3%
21:45
NZD
Card Spending Total (MoM) (FEB)
0.4%
–
0.1%
22:30
AUD
ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Conf
110.3
–
112.5
23:50
JPY
Japan Money Stock M2 (YoY) (FEB)
3.5%
3.5%
3.4%
23:50
JPY
Japan Money Stock M3 (YoY) (FEB)
2.9%
2.9%
2.8%
0:01
GBP
BRC Sales Like-For-Like (YoY) (FEB)
0.2%
0.5%
0.2%
0:30
AUD
NAB Business Confidence (FEB)
0
–
3
0:30
AUD
NAB Business Conditions (FEB)
2
–
2
1:30
CNY
Consumer Price Index (YoY) (FEB)
1.4%
1.0%
0.8%
1:30
CNY
Producer Price Index (YoY) (FEB)
-4.8%
-4.3%
-4.3%
6:00
JPY
Machine Tool Orders (YoY) (FEB P)
–
20.4%
European Session
GMT
CCY
EVENT
EXP
PREV
IMPACT
6:45
CHF
Unemployment Rate s.a. (FEB)
3.2%
3.1%
Low
6:45
CHF
Unemployment Rate (FEB)
3.5%
3.5%
Low
10:00
EUR
EU Finance Ministers Meet in Brussels
–
–
Medium
17:30
GBP
BOE’s Carney Testifies at House of Lords
–
–
Medium
Critical Levels
CCY
Supp 3
Supp 2
Supp 1
Pivot Point
Res 1
Res 2
Res 3
EURUSD
1.0693
1.0777
1.0814
1.0861
1.0898
1.0945
1.1029
GBPUSD
1.4877
1.4987
1.5058
1.5097
1.5168
1.5207
1.5317
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
To receive Ilya’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Contact and follow Ilya on Twitter: @IlyaSpivak
DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM.
Source: Daily fx