GBPUSD Tests Key Threshold- Scalping the 1.54 Pivot

GBPUSD Daily Chart

Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Technical Outlook

1.54 Objective cited last month has now been achieved
Broader bias now aligns with the near-term as we look to play the rebound off this key threshold. (Note: breach on a daily close basis invalidates our initial bearish scalp bias)
RSI holding 60-threshold- suggests broader bias remains intact / near-term top may be in place
RSI trigger break to confirm the directional bias
Key support region 1.5188-1.5265- Break below offers further conviction on subsequent short scalps
Main events to watch this week: CPI/PPI on Tuesday – BoE minutes & Jobless claims on Wednesday – UK Retail Sales on Thursday

GBPUSD Scalp Chart

Scalp Notes: Bottom Line: 1.54 is Paramount- Topside break on a close basis risks further advances into our resistance targets. The RSI signature since the Sunday open remains bearish with only a breach above the 60-threshold suggesting that the recent decline may have run its course. Watch for contentious price action as we head into the 1.5243-1.5274 range – 1.5240 has been a key pivot for the pair dating back to February.

*We will remain flexible with our bias with a breach above 1.5410 eyeing subsequent resistance targets. It’s extremely important to give added consideration regarding the timing of intra-day scalps with the opening ranges on a session & hourly basis offering further clarity on intra-day biases. Use this app to distinguish the various trade sessions.

Key Threshold Grid

Entry/Exit Targets

Timeframe

Level

Significance

Resistance Target 1

30min

1.5340

Soft/Pivot Resistance

Resistance Target 2

30min

1.5365

78.6% Fib Ext

Bearish Invalidation

Daily

1.5407

38.2% Retracement

Break Target 1

30min

1.5455

100% Fib Ext

Break Target 3

Daily

1.5500

Big Figure1

Break Target 4

Daily

1.5520

R2 Monthly Pivot

Break Target 5

Daily

1.5585

50% Retracement

Support Target 1

30min

1.5293

61.8% Fib Ext

Support Target 2

30min

1.5273

23.6% Retracement

Support Target 3

30min

1.5243

50% Fib Ext

Support Target 4

30min

1.5215

Soft Support

Bullish Invalidation

Daily/30min

1.5188

23.6% / 38.2% Retrace

Break Target 1

30min

1.5160

Soft Support

Break Target 2

30min

1.5130/1.5120

23.6% Ext /50% Retrace

Break Target 3

Daily

1.5095

Monthly Pivot

Average True Range

Daily

102

Profit Targets 23-25pips

For updates on this scalp and more setups attend Michael’s Scalp Webinars or follow him on Twitter @MBForex

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—Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

To contact Michael email mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list

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