We center on three scenarios:
(1) Base case: Clinton wins the Presidency, but with split government as the GOP keeps the House. The Senate can go either way, though we expect Democrats to narrowly take the Senate under a Clinton victory.
(2) Clinton Sweep: Clinton wins the Presidency and a strong performance down the ballot gives Senate and House Democratic majority. A narrowing at the Presidential race has reduced this already low-probability scenario.
(3) Trump Win: Trump wins the Presidency and a strong showing for Republicans leads them to keep their majority in the Senate. The Republicans also keep the House, as expected.
Copyright © 2016 RBS, eFXnews™Original Article
