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Monthly archive January, 2016

Forex Volatility Jumps, We Shift our Trading Focus

- Risk aversion sparks sharp market sell-offs across the globe, brings volatility risk - US Dollar looks in trouble into the New Year, but so far it has strengthened - Our focus has shifted to the volatility-friendly Breakout2 system with a clear Read More →

Q1 2016 Forecast: EUR/USD Sideways Move Likely as Markets Wait for March Fed & ECB Meetings

Fundamental Outlook Coming into Q4’15, our main theme for EUR/USD was renewed downside pressure contingent upon the European Central Bank starting the next leg of its easing program. Indeed, this proved to be the singular largest factor driving the pair: once Read More →

Risk Aversion Takes Center Stage to Kick Off the New Year

Talking Points: - To cap-off 2015, we covered the top three themes facing markets in 2016. #1 is an Asian slowdown, #2 is continued carnage in Commodities and #3 was/is rates. - It didn’t take long for these risks to come to Read More →

JPY Strength Materializing as Global Equities Plummet

Talking Points: - Our trade of the year, long JPY, is off to a solid start. - Markets in major 'risk off' mood after Chinese PMI data - See upcoming event risk for FX markets. Happy New Year! That's where the good news ends. Read More →

Aussie and NZ Dollars Sink, Yen Gains on Risk-Off Start to 2016

Talking Points: S&P 500 Futures Hint Asia-Hours Risk Aversion Likely to Carry Forward British Pound Looks to UK PMI Data to Drive BOE Rate Hike Expectations Gauge Trends and Spot Reversals in Leading Currencies with DailyFX SSI The Australian, Canadian and New Zealand Dollars Read More →

USD Strength and Slowing Demand Plague Commodities in Early 2016

Talking Points: USD strength and weak demand prospect pressure commodity prices in early 2016 Brent-WTI spread narrows due to oversupply and storage shortage Gold sees no light yet in early 2016 as Fed rate hikes kick off Metal price rout may prolong while producers Read More →