On August 31, Bank of America Merrill Lynch FX Strategy Research Research opened a short EUR/USD spot trade from 1.1891 on that ground fundamentals, quant and technicals argued for a decline.

"EUR/USD has traded around our entry point but has yet to decline to confirm our signals. Two more bearish technical signals have occurred and a small unconfirmed head and shoulders top pattern has developed," BofAML notes.

Overall, BofAML outlines 3 technical bearish signals for EUR/USD:

"1- The September 8th high signaled a TD Sequential 13 sell signal with a stop level of 1.2169.

2- The two peaked bearish price / RSI divergence is now a more technically favorable three peaked bearish divergence.

3- Price action may have formed the right shoulder of a small head and shoulders top that has not yet been confirmed with a neckline break," BofAML adds.

In line with this view, BofAML maintains a short EUR/USD* position from 1.1891 targeting a move to 1.15 with a stop at 1.21.

Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch Rates and Currencies ResearchOriginal Article