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Monthly archive March, 2016

Waiting for Trudeau: Canadian Dollar Nears Fiscal Event Horizon

Waiting for Trudeau: Canadian Dollar Nears Fiscal Event Horizon
Fundamental Forecast for USD/CAD: Neutral - The Canadian Dollar has been looking forward to this week since the October elections. - Crude Oil remains a significant driver Read More →

GBP/USD Rebound to Accelerate on Sticky UK CPI, Shift in FX Sentiment

GBP/USD Rebound to Accelerate on Sticky UK CPI, Shift in FX Sentiment
Fundamental Forecast for British Pound: Bullish GBP/USD Rallies Despite Wait-and-See BoE; Short-Squeeze in Play? GBP/JPY Bullish Above 159.40- Break of 164.85 to Mark Behavior Read More →

Weekly Trading Forecast: Have We Seen a Seismic Trend Change for EURUSD, USDJPY, AUDUSD?

The Dollar's tumble these past three weeks was given fundamental backing by the Fed's downgrade of its interest rate forecasts. Does this mark a definitive turn in trend for the majors and risk trends? US Dollar Forecast – Dollar Tumbles Third Read More →

Trading Key Risk, Commodities, China, Rates Themes in the FX Markets

Talking Points Major themes around the world are easy to follow, but not as easy to trade Currencies measure many different facets of economic and financial change We look at candidates for reflecting views on risk trends, oil, China and monetary policy See the Read More →

USD/CAD Sentiment Hits Extremes Ahead of CPI- 1.2965 Critical Support

Talking Points USDCAD at key support at 1.2965/82 ahead of Canadian CPI Release to threaten immediate short-bias Updated targets & invalidation levels USDCAD 30min Chart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0 Technical Outlook: USDCAD is testing a critical support confluence at 1.2968/81 – this level is defined Read More →

(In)Digestion for USD-pairs as Reality Sets in for FOMC

Talking Points: - EUR/USD quickly approaching the February highs. - USD/JPY tests lows near ¥111.20 - don't dismiss significant downside from here. - As FX market volatility stays elevated, it's a good time to review risk management principles. We've been consistent in our skepticism Read More →