Monthly archive December, 2015

Top 3 Themes for 2016, Part 3: Rates

Talking Points: - As we near the end of the year, we’re addressing the top 3 themes that the economic world faces going into 2016. - On Tuesday, we looked at the risk of a larger slowdown in Asia. - Yesterday, we examined Read More →

Chinese Yields Fall on Diminished Rate Expectations

- Chinese sovereign bonds surged to their highest level in two weeks. - The yield of 10-year bonds surged to 2.80%, the lowest yield seen since January 2009. - Additional rate cuts may be delayed until the second quarter of 2016. Sina News (China’s Read More →

Q1 2016 Forecast: US Dollar Looks in Trouble Heading into 2016

The US Federal Reserve has finally raised interest rates and ended its long-standing Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP); this in itself should leave the US Dollar well-positioned versus major counterparts through the start of 2016. And indeed the Fed’s hike Read More →

Q1 2016 Forecast: No End in Sight for Oil Price Declines

There is no end in sight for the global glut that has built up since OPEC started an oil price war with the US shale industry in early 2014. Both sides are determined to keep oil pumping off the ground Read More →

Q1 2016 Forecast: Fed Rate Hikes and BoJ Action Points to USD/JPY Gains

With the Federal Reserve removing the zero-interest rate policy (ZIRP) in 2015, the normalization cycle in the U.S. accompanied by the quantitative/qualitative easing (QQE) program in Japan may fuel a bullish outlook for USD/JPY amid the deviating paths for monetary Read More →

Top 3 Themes as We Approach 2016, Part 2: Commodity Carnage

Talking Points: - As we near the end of the year, we’re looking at the top three themes facing markets for 2016. - Yesterday, we discussed the potential ramifications of a larger-slowdown in Asia. - Today, we take a look at the commodity Read More →